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John Funk

I think you're onto something important here Raj.

I might posit that what you're seeing is the enabling of the long tail of brands. And, further, the enablement of someone to move from the long tail into the fat head (left head?) using new/social media rather than traditional media.

This is indeed exciting as friction is reduced around new brand creation and those new brands can create value quickly.

But, recognize the downside of this as well - the half-life of a brand just got shorter. It will be that much harder to maintain a brand given the lower switching costs, the more transparent existence of new/alternate brands, etc.

We've all see the hot turn into the not-so-hot very quickly... Inertia and brand creation friction is bad when you're climbing the ladder up as it makes the journey harder; but once you're there, the "value" is projectable because it's hard for others to unseat you. Now, in your new world, the ability to project brand value forward to many years in the future just got that much more risky. I wonder if that creates a lower NPV given the preponderance of the terminal value in any NPV calculation....

Rajil

great point John - i tend to agree with you that brands will be "less stable" in this new world - both for individuals as well as institutions

Ashmeet Sidana

Insightful and intriguing post, Raj. I enjoyed it.

What about brands for complex products? For example, cars or jet engines. Will BMW always communicate something distinctive from a HONDA? Will you need to be a GE or a Rolls Royce to sell jet-engines to commercial aircraft?

Rajil

Good point - I think complex product brands are harder to disrupt than those describing products or services that can simply be delivered by an individual (e.g. education, entertainment, healthcare).

Specifically in products, 3D printing works well for single material, continuous shape products - that clearly doesn't cover every consumer product. However, I think even that technology will evolve to handle more and more complex products and empower an individual to manufacture parts they need vs importing from a manufacturer - perhaps at a cost lower than overseas since the labor input will be close to zero!

Rajil

Joi Ito (friend and director of the MIT Media Lab) is big proponent of many other industries undergoing a similar disruption as information/communications because technology/internet becomes embedded in all those systems. I encourage you to check him out. http://www.media.mit.edu/people/joi

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